WonPremier League30 August 2026
Leeds vs Brentford prediction
Leeds vs Brentford, 30 August 2026: we published Draw or Away at 1.50, model probability 69%. It won (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Draw or Away
Double Chance
1.50
Odds we published
Implied 67%
69.5%
Model probability
+2.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.