LostUEFA Conference League18 December 2025
Legia Warszawa vs Lincoln Red Imps FC prediction
Legia Warszawa vs Lincoln Red Imps FC, 18 December 2025: we published Lincoln Red Imps FC Win at 10.02, model probability 35%. It lost (4-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lincoln Red Imps FC Win
Match Result
10.02
Odds we published
Implied 10%
34.9%
Model probability
+25.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost4-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.