WonLigue 117 January 2026
Lens vs Auxerre prediction
Lens vs Auxerre, 17 January 2026: we published Lens Win at 1.43, model probability 74%. It won (1-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lens Win
Match Result
1.43
Odds we published
Implied 70%
73.5%
Model probability
+3.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.