WonLigue 12 November 2025
Lens vs Lorient prediction
Lens vs Lorient, 2 November 2025: we published Lens Win at 1.44, model probability 72%. It won (3-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lens Win
Match Result
1.44
Odds we published
Implied 69%
71.8%
Model probability
+2.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.