WonLigue 122 November 2025
Lens vs Strasbourg prediction
Lens vs Strasbourg, 22 November 2025: we published Lens Win at 2.02, model probability 53%. It won (1-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lens Win
Match Result
2.02
Odds we published
Implied 50%
53.0%
Model probability
+3.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.