LostLigue 13 May 2026
Lille vs Le Havre prediction
Lille vs Le Havre, 3 May 2026: we published Lille Win at 1.40, model probability 69%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lille Win
Match Result
1.40
Odds we published
Implied 72%
69.3%
Model probability
-2.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.