WonUEFA Conference League11 December 2025
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Sigma Olomouc prediction
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Sigma Olomouc, 11 December 2025: we published Lincoln Red Imps FC Win at 6.81, model probability 31%. It won (2-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lincoln Red Imps FC Win
Match Result
6.81
Odds we published
Implied 15%
31.3%
Model probability
+16.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.