LostPremier League25 April 2026
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace prediction
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace, 25 April 2026: we published Crystal Palace Win at 6.33, model probability 27%. It lost (3-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Crystal Palace Win
Match Result
6.33
Odds we published
Implied 16%
27.5%
Model probability
+11.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost3-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.