WonPremier League11 October 2026
Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction
Liverpool vs Manchester City, 11 October 2026: we published Draw or Away at 1.47, model probability 73%. It won (0-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Draw or Away
Double Chance
1.47
Odds we published
Implied 68%
73.3%
Model probability
+5.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.