WonPremier League22 November 2025
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest, 22 November 2025: we published Nottingham Forest Win at 7.20, model probability 25%. It won (0-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Nottingham Forest Win
Match Result
7.20
Odds we published
Implied 14%
25.3%
Model probability
+11.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.