LostUEFA Champions League14 April 2026
Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain, 14 April 2026: we published Over 2.5 at 1.41, model probability 76%. It lost (0-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Over 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.41
Odds we published
Implied 71%
76.1%
Model probability
+5.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.