WonUEFA Champions League26 November 2025
Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
Liverpool vs PSV Eindhoven, 26 November 2025: we published PSV Eindhoven Win at 8.69, model probability 36%. It won (1-4). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
PSV Eindhoven Win
Match Result
8.69
Odds we published
Implied 12%
35.6%
Model probability
+24.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-4
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.