WonLigue 19 November 2025
Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain prediction
Lyon vs Paris Saint Germain, 9 November 2025: we published Paris Saint Germain Win at 1.84, model probability 59%. It won (2-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Paris Saint Germain Win
Match Result
1.84
Odds we published
Implied 54%
58.5%
Model probability
+4.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.