LostLa Liga4 January 2026
Mallorca vs Girona prediction
Mallorca vs Girona, 4 January 2026: we published Mallorca Win at 2.27, model probability 58%. It lost (1-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Mallorca Win
Match Result
2.27
Odds we published
Implied 44%
57.7%
Model probability
+13.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.