LostPremier League24 November 2025
Manchester United vs Everton prediction
Manchester United vs Everton, 24 November 2025: we published Manchester United Win at 1.74, model probability 60%. It lost (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Manchester United Win
Match Result
1.74
Odds we published
Implied 57%
59.9%
Model probability
+2.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.