LostLigue 18 November 2025
Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction
Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29, 8 November 2025: we published Stade Brestois 29 Win at 6.61, model probability 18%. It lost (3-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Stade Brestois 29 Win
Match Result
6.61
Odds we published
Implied 15%
17.5%
Model probability
+2.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost3-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.