WonLigue 128 November 2025
Metz vs Rennes prediction
Metz vs Rennes, 28 November 2025: we published Rennes Win at 1.85, model probability 56%. It won (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Rennes Win
Match Result
1.85
Odds we published
Implied 54%
55.8%
Model probability
+1.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.