WonLigue 16 December 2025
Nantes vs Lens prediction
Nantes vs Lens, 6 December 2025: we published Lens Win at 1.68, model probability 65%. It won (1-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lens Win
Match Result
1.68
Odds we published
Implied 59%
65.3%
Model probability
+5.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.