LostLigue 12 November 2025
Nantes vs Metz prediction
Nantes vs Metz, 2 November 2025: we published Nantes Win at 1.95, model probability 54%. It lost (0-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Nantes Win
Match Result
1.95
Odds we published
Implied 51%
54.3%
Model probability
+3.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.