WonFIFA World Cup14 June 2026
Netherlands vs Japan prediction
Netherlands vs Japan, 14 June 2026: we published Draw or Away at 1.30, model probability 74%. It won (2-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Draw or Away
Double Chance
1.30
Odds we published
Implied 77%
73.6%
Model probability
-3.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.