WonFIFA World Cup22 June 2026
New Zealand vs Egypt prediction
New Zealand vs Egypt, 22 June 2026: we published Egypt Win at 1.59, model probability 60%. It won (1-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Egypt Win
Match Result
1.59
Odds we published
Implied 63%
59.9%
Model probability
-3.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.