WonUEFA Europa League11 December 2025
Nice vs SC Braga prediction
Nice vs SC Braga, 11 December 2025: we published SC Braga Win at 2.23, model probability 62%. It won (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
SC Braga Win
Match Result
2.23
Odds we published
Implied 45%
62.3%
Model probability
+17.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.