WonFIFA World Cup23 June 2026
Norway vs Senegal prediction
Norway vs Senegal, 23 June 2026: we published Home or Draw at 1.31, model probability 74%. It won (3-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Draw
Double Chance
1.31
Odds we published
Implied 76%
73.7%
Model probability
-2.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.