LostUEFA Champions League4 November 2025
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PSV Eindhoven, 4 November 2025: we published PSV Eindhoven Win at 2.67, model probability 40%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
PSV Eindhoven Win
Match Result
2.67
Odds we published
Implied 37%
40.0%
Model probability
+2.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.