LostUEFA Champions League26 November 2025
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Real Madrid prediction
Olympiakos Piraeus vs Real Madrid, 26 November 2025: we published Olympiakos Piraeus Win at 7.18, model probability 29%. It lost (3-4). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Olympiakos Piraeus Win
Match Result
7.18
Odds we published
Implied 14%
29.0%
Model probability
+15.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost3-4
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.