WonUEFA Conference League19 February 2026
Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka prediction
Omonia Nicosia vs HNK Rijeka, 19 February 2026: we published Under 2.5 at 1.84, model probability 76%. It won (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Under 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.84
Odds we published
Implied 54%
75.7%
Model probability
+21.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.