LostLa Liga3 January 2026
Osasuna vs Athletic Club prediction
Osasuna vs Athletic Club, 3 January 2026: we published Osasuna Win at 3.06, model probability 44%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Osasuna Win
Match Result
3.06
Odds we published
Implied 33%
44.0%
Model probability
+11.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.