LostLa Liga23 November 2025
Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano prediction
Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano, 23 November 2025: we published Rayo Vallecano Win at 2.25, model probability 48%. It lost (0-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Rayo Vallecano Win
Match Result
2.25
Odds we published
Implied 44%
47.9%
Model probability
+3.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.