LostLigue 16 December 2025
Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes prediction
Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes, 6 December 2025: we published Rennes Win at 8.94, model probability 24%. It lost (5-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Rennes Win
Match Result
8.94
Odds we published
Implied 11%
24.4%
Model probability
+13.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost5-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.