LostSerie A8 November 2025
Parma vs AC Milan prediction
Parma vs AC Milan, 8 November 2025: we published AC Milan Win at 1.60, model probability 68%. It lost (2-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
AC Milan Win
Match Result
1.60
Odds we published
Implied 62%
67.6%
Model probability
+5.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.