LostSerie A1 February 2026
Parma vs Juventus prediction
Parma vs Juventus, 1 February 2026: we published Under 2.5 at 1.82, model probability 70%. It lost (1-4). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Under 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.82
Odds we published
Implied 55%
70.4%
Model probability
+15.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-4
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.