LostUEFA Champions League9 December 2025
PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid prediction
PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid, 9 December 2025: we published PSV Eindhoven Win at 2.92, model probability 50%. It lost (2-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
PSV Eindhoven Win
Match Result
2.92
Odds we published
Implied 34%
50.0%
Model probability
+15.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.