WonLa Liga16 August 2026
Racing Santander vs Villarreal prediction
Racing Santander vs Villarreal, 16 August 2026: we published Draw or Away at 1.30, model probability 80%. It won (2-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Draw or Away
Double Chance
1.30
Odds we published
Implied 77%
79.6%
Model probability
+2.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.