WonLa Liga11 May 2026
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona prediction
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona, 11 May 2026: we published Home or Draw at 1.39, model probability 73%. It won (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Draw
Double Chance
1.39
Odds we published
Implied 72%
73.5%
Model probability
+1.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.