LostUEFA Conference League19 March 2026
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor prediction
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor, 19 March 2026: we published Rayo Vallecano Win at 1.63, model probability 63%. It lost (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Rayo Vallecano Win
Match Result
1.63
Odds we published
Implied 61%
63.0%
Model probability
+1.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.