LostBundesliga20 December 2025
RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen, 20 December 2025: we published RB Leipzig Win at 2.18, model probability 53%. It lost (1-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
RB Leipzig Win
Match Result
2.18
Odds we published
Implied 46%
52.9%
Model probability
+7.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.