WonLa Liga23 May 2026
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club prediction
Real Madrid vs Athletic Club, 23 May 2026: we published Real Madrid Win at 1.47, model probability 66%. It won (4-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Real Madrid Win
Match Result
1.47
Odds we published
Implied 68%
65.9%
Model probability
-2.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won4-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.