WonUEFA Champions League7 April 2026
Real Madrid vs Bayern München prediction
Real Madrid vs Bayern München, 7 April 2026: we published Over 2.5 at 1.39, model probability 79%. It won (1-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Over 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.39
Odds we published
Implied 72%
78.7%
Model probability
+7.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.