WonUEFA Champions League20 January 2026
Real Madrid vs Monaco prediction
Real Madrid vs Monaco, 20 January 2026: we published Real Madrid Win at 1.30, model probability 72%. It won (6-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Real Madrid Win
Match Result
1.30
Odds we published
Implied 77%
72.2%
Model probability
-4.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won6-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.