LostLa Liga4 January 2026
Real Madrid vs Real Betis prediction
Real Madrid vs Real Betis, 4 January 2026: we published Real Betis Win at 6.20, model probability 26%. It lost (5-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Real Betis Win
Match Result
6.20
Odds we published
Implied 16%
25.6%
Model probability
+9.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost5-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.