LostLa Liga20 December 2025
Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction
Real Madrid vs Sevilla, 20 December 2025: we published Sevilla Win at 12.18, model probability 15%. It lost (2-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Sevilla Win
Match Result
12.18
Odds we published
Implied 8%
14.8%
Model probability
+6.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.