LostSerie A21 December 2025
Sassuolo vs Torino prediction
Sassuolo vs Torino, 21 December 2025: we published Sassuolo Win at 2.37, model probability 50%. It lost (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Sassuolo Win
Match Result
2.37
Odds we published
Implied 42%
50.1%
Model probability
+8.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.