WonBundesliga9 November 2025
SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli prediction
SC Freiburg vs FC St. Pauli, 9 November 2025: we published SC Freiburg Win at 1.84, model probability 56%. It won (2-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
SC Freiburg Win
Match Result
1.84
Odds we published
Implied 54%
56.0%
Model probability
+1.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.