LostFIFA World Cup24 June 2026
Scotland vs Brazil prediction
Scotland vs Brazil, 24 June 2026: we published Scotland Win at 10.03, model probability 16%. It lost (0-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Scotland Win
Match Result
10.03
Odds we published
Implied 10%
15.9%
Model probability
+6.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.