LostFIFA World Cup26 June 2026
Senegal vs Iraq prediction
Senegal vs Iraq, 26 June 2026: we published Iraq Win at 12.74, model probability 13%. It lost (5-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Iraq Win
Match Result
12.74
Odds we published
Implied 8%
13.1%
Model probability
+5.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost5-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.