WonFIFA World Cup25 June 2026
South Africa vs South Korea prediction
South Africa vs South Korea, 25 June 2026: we published Under 2.5 at 1.80, model probability 64%. It won (1-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Under 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.80
Odds we published
Implied 55%
64.3%
Model probability
+8.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.