WonUEFA Champions League17 March 2026
Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt prediction
Sporting CP vs Bodo/Glimt, 17 March 2026: we published Over 2.5 at 1.35, model probability 68%. It won (5-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Over 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.35
Odds we published
Implied 74%
68.2%
Model probability
-5.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won5-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.