WonLigue 118 January 2026
Strasbourg vs Metz prediction
Strasbourg vs Metz, 18 January 2026: we published Strasbourg Win at 1.53, model probability 71%. It won (2-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Strasbourg Win
Match Result
1.53
Odds we published
Implied 65%
70.7%
Model probability
+5.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.