LostLigue 130 November 2025
Strasbourg vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction
Strasbourg vs Stade Brestois 29, 30 November 2025: we published Strasbourg Win at 1.84, model probability 56%. It lost (1-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Strasbourg Win
Match Result
1.84
Odds we published
Implied 54%
56.0%
Model probability
+1.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.