LostLigue 13 May 2026
Strasbourg vs Toulouse prediction
Strasbourg vs Toulouse, 3 May 2026: we published Home or Draw at 1.49, model probability 69%. It lost (1-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Draw
Double Chance
1.49
Odds we published
Implied 67%
69.1%
Model probability
+1.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.